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Journal of Transportation and Statistics
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Volume 6 Number 1
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Paper 3
Table 2
Example MCMC Simulation Output for Model 27: Some Statistics of the Estimated Posterior Density for a Selected Number of Parameters
Excel
|
CSV
Parameter
Mean
Standard error
2.5%
Median
97.5%
α
1
-0.963
0.154
-1.269
-0.964
-0.662
α
2
-0.639
0.148
-0.929
-0.635
-0.356
α
3
-1.131
0.162
-1.450
-1.128
-0.823
α
4
-1.240
0.183
-1.595
-1.237
-0.882
α
5
-1.288
0.155
-1.595
-1.283
-0.993
α
6
-1.427
0.182
-1.768
-1.429
-1.066
α
7
-1.376
0.128
-1.629
-1.375
-1.127
α
8
-1.218
0.130
-1.479
-1.215
-0.978
α
9
-0.984
0.158
-1.283
-0.986
-0.666
α
10
-0.582
0.162
-0.889
-0.584
-0.260
α
11
-0.610
0.156
-0.924
-0.602
-0.321
α
12
-0.498
0.208
-0.918
-0.489
-0.097
α
13
-0.919
0.149
-1.232
-0.914
-0.634
α
14
-0.668
0.137
-0.943
-0.668
-0.398
α
15
-0.770
0.139
-1.045
-0.772
-0.503
α
16
-0.893
0.165
-1.216
-0.891
-0.551
α
17
-0.754
0.139
-1.030
-0.756
-0.495
α
18
-0.630
0.170
-0.966
-0.621
-0.294
α
19
-0.649
0.171
-0.975
-0.645
-0.326
α
20
-0.877
0.208
-1.282
-0.880
-0.459
α
21
-1.005
0.308
-1.656
-0.981
-0.442
α
22
-1.561
0.224
-1.980
-1.566
-1.114
α
23
-1.189
0.147
-1.483
-1.187
-0.901
α
24
-1.114
0.378
-1.831
-1.127
-0.379
α
25
-1.401
0.156
-1.712
-1.396
-1.094
δ
1
(set to 0)
δ
2
0.0132
0.026
-0.0380
0.0129
0.0645
δ
3
-0.0156
0.027
-0.0677
-0.0156
0.0376
δ
4
0.0508
0.027
-0.0009
0.0508
0.1034
δ
5
0.0929
0.027
0.0418
0.0926
0.1453
δ
6
0.0886
0.027
0.0365
0.0886
0.1408
δ
7
0.0632
0.027
0.0111
0.0631
0.1155
δ
8
0.0603
0.026
0.0089
0.0601
0.1123
β
1
0.00286
0.0018
-0.00079
0.0029
0.00648
β
2
0.00723
0.0019
0.0035
0.00721
0.01103
β
3
-0.00057
0.0014
-0.00346
-0.00057
0.00229
β
4
-0.00004
0.0002
-0.00050
-0.00004
0.0004
β
5
0.00009
0.0002
-0.00028
-0.00010
0.00048
β
6
-0.00015
0.0002
-0.00045
-0.00015
0.00014
Ψ
46.52
5.04
37.83
46.18
57.41
1/η
0.0023
0.0002
0.0019
0.0023
0.0028