Table 10: Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 1-, 6-, 12-, and 24-Steps-Ahead Forecasts for Metro and Bus Tickets and Travel Cards for the DHR, Causal, and Average Forecasts
Forecasting Period: 2000-2002
Excel | CSV
| h =
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Causal |
0.037 |
0.049 |
0.059 |
0.034 |
0.043 |
0.039 |
| DHR |
0.043 |
0.054 |
0.066 |
0.051 |
0.041 |
0.043 |
| Average |
0.037 |
0.042 |
0.059 |
0.035 |
0.037 |
0.033 |
| h =
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Causal |
0.051 |
0.085 |
0.119 |
0.038 |
0.059 |
0.030 |
| DHR |
0.066 |
0.067 |
0.113 |
0.050 |
0.053 |
0.046 |
| Average |
0.055 |
0.069 |
0.111 |
0.038 |
0.052 |
0.031 |
| h =
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Causal |
0.088 |
0.123 |
0.142 |
0.034 |
0.051 |
0.030 |
| DHR |
0.100 |
0.089 |
0.128 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.036 |
| Average |
0.091 |
0.101 |
0.126 |
0.036 |
0.045 |
0.026 |
| h =
24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Causal |
0.174 |
0.180 |
0.164 |
0.039 |
0.144 |
0.095 |
| DHR |
0.265 |
0.134 |
0.287 |
0.085 |
0.096 |
0.059 |
| Average |
0.213 |
0.145 |
0.204 |
0.051 |
0.108 |
0.028 |
|
