BTS | Table 1: Coefficients and Fit of Models for Forecasting the Natural Logarithm of the Numbers of Fatal and Serious Casualties and of the Rate of Slight Casualties

Table 1: Coefficients and Fit of Models for Forecasting the Natural Logarithm of the Numbers of Fatal and Serious Casualties and of the Rate of Slight Casualties

Parameter	Number of fatalities		Number of serious casualties		Slight casualty rates per 100 million vehicle- kilometers
Parameter	Coefficient	Standard error	Coefficient	Standard error	Coefficient	Standard error
Autoregressive term	0.684	0.13	0.831	0.093	0.84	0.088
Trend	-0.027	0.002	-0.030	0.003	-0.026	0.003
Constant	8.996	0.043	11.534	0.065	0.205	0.054
Standard error	0.045		0.042		0.034
Adjusted R²	0.965		0.966		0.966