Table 3 Bayesian Parameter Estimates and Goodness of Fit Measures for the Linear and Constrained Quadratic Models Applied to the Minnesota Data
Thursday, December 1, 2011
Table 3 Bayesian Parameter Estimates and Goodness of Fit Measures for the Linear and Constrained Quadratic Models Applied to the Minnesota Data
| Parameter/ measure |
Linear model | (Constrained) quadratic model | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.5 percentile | 97.5 percentile | Mean | 2.5 percentile | 97.7 percentile | |
| b1 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 0.46 | −0.014 | −0.013 | 0.381 |
| b2 | − | − | − | 0.006 | 0.0003 | 0.016 |
| Deviance | 40.3 | 29.5 | 47.9 | 40.6 | 30.8 | 48.5 |
| DIC | 41.1 | 40.3 | ||||