Table 1 - Evaluation of 90% Prediction Intervals: First Factor Group
NOTE: Bolding indicates ATRs that have counts falling outside the credible bounds.
| Mn/DOT ATR number | Fifth percentile of predictive distribution | Log total count | 95th percentile of predictive distribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12.2954 | 12.5539 | 12.5531 |
| 3 | 13.9783 | 14.1189 | 14.2267 |
| 7 | 12.2483 | 12.3857 | 12.4690 |
| 8 | 10.9598 | 11.3207 | 11.2912 |
| 9 | 11.8849 | 11.9756 | 12.1124 |
| 10 | 12.8934 | 13.0059 | 13.0748 |
| 12 | 13.1947 | 13.1813 | 13.4464 |
| 14 | 12.9814 | 13.0870 | 13.2310 |
| 50 | 13.4775 | 13.5663 | 13.6500 |
| 54 | 10.2983 | 10.5153 | 10.5339 |
| 56 | 11.4603 | 11.5531 | 11.6512 |
| 100 | 15.2954 | 15.4013 | 15.5066 |
| 102 | 16.4250 | 16.4932 | 16.6343 |
| 103 | 16.0997 | 16.1653 | 16.2748 |
| 104 | 15.2014 | 15.2137 | 15.2945 |
| 110 | 15.6586 | 15.7102 | 15.8464 |
| 164 | 13.8722 | 13.9628 | 14.0880 |
| 166 | 13.8270 | 13.8729 | 13.9741 |
| 170 | 13.8047 | 13.8419 | 13.9555 |
| 172 | 14.9882 | 15.1130 | 15.1175 |
| 179 | 13.0413 | 13.1812 | 13.2469 |
| 197 | 13.7666 | 13.8906 | 13.9826 |
| 199 | 12.4498 | 12.6153 | 12.6332 |
| 211 | 13.4673 | 13.5737 | 13.6714 |
| 213 | 14.0399 | 14.0975 | 14.1949 |
| 216 | 12.4219 | 12.5007 | 12.6338 |
| 217 | 11.9371 | 12.1674 | 12.1390 |
| 219 | 13.2525 | 13.2984 | 13.4746 |
| 225 | 12.0633 | 12.2808 | 12.3005 |
| 226 | 11.5859 | 11.7921 | 11.7918 |
Updated: Saturday, May 20, 2017