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Table 3. ORNL Comparison of PT and VT Estimates

Friday, November 22, 2024

Return to all tables and figures in the Bureau of Transportation Statistics’ 2009 Local Area Transportation Characteristics by Household methodology

Number of Person Trips per Household (PT)

Add-On Areas Baseline Standards Std Err % % Difference from Baseline
C. Div & MSA Size-based MSA Size-based CENSUS Division-based CENSUS Region-based Regression-based
New York 9.91 1.16% 1.32% 9.61% 2.03% 5.29% -6.52%
Wisconsin 9.90 1.13% 6.80% 5.86% 6.74% 7.67% -4.98%
Texas 10.31 2.17% 7.94% 9.63% 8.69% 9.20% -1.33%
Baltimore 9.10 1.48% 11.58% 14.45% 16.93% 14.93% 5.35%
Lancaster 10.26 2.67% 5.62% 9.51% 1.02% 3.13% -2.18%
Des Moines 9.50 3.41% 15.19% 11.33% 13.97% 11.65% 2.75%
Kentucky 8.88 2.87% 9.95% 17.49% 14.14% 16.30% 2.44%
Hawaii 10.47 2.81% -0.37% 6.72% 9.05% 10.75% -3.68%
Oahu 10.79 2.54% 11.85% 9.92% 8.77% 10.47% -5.90%
Mean Absolute Deviation     7.85% 10.50% 9.04% 9.93% 3.90%
Number of "Wins"     2 0 1 0 6

Number of Vehicle Trips per Household (VT)

Add-On Areas Baseline Standards Std Err % % Difference from Baseline
C. Div & MSA Size-based MSA Size-based CENSUS Division-based CENSUS Region-based Regression-based
New York 4.54 1.76% 12.52% 36.61% 14.54% 22.46% 1.57%
Wisconsin 6.25 1.20% 5.96% 3.81% 4.50% 4.98% -4.83%
Texas 6.68 2.05% 2.61% -3.06% 3.16% 1.86% -10.13%
Baltimore 5.30 1.86% 10.84% 8.98% 22.31% 22.49% 6.28%
Lancaster 6.37 3.00% -0.23% 7.59% -17.44% -11.98% -2.23%
Des Moines 6.30 3.33% 7.87% 4.49% 5.28% 4.09% 0.99%
Kentucky 5.80 3.07% 8.82% 13.38% 12.02% 12.40% -2.59%
Hawaii 6.86 2.47% -9.79% -1.44% -6.45% -3.25% -12.30%
Oahu 6.25 2.89% 4.34% 14.77% 4.65% 8.15% -11.46%
Mean Absolute Deviation     7.00% 10.46% 10.04% 10.18% 5.82%
Number of "Wins"     2 2 0 1 4

Percentage difference in bold indicate the method that gives estimates closest to the baseline

Percentage difference in yellow highlight indicate the cluster-based approach gives estimates closest to the baseline

Source: Hu et al. 2007, Table 12. Comparing Baseline Standards to Various Trip-Frequency Estimates, Data from Nine 2001 NHTS Add-on Areas.