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Figure 1-3 Freight TSI and the Economic Growth Cycle, 1979 to 2015

Friday, January 6, 2017

Graphic Version

Date Detrended Freight TSI Detrended and Smoothed Freight TSI
Jan-79 1.7971  
Feb-79 1.9061  
Mar-79 6.6960  
Apr-79 -5.1791  
May-79 3.4627  
Jun-79 4.2483  
Jul-79 3.8376 2.2950
Aug-79 1.3584 2.1469
Sep-79 2.4848 1.8540
Oct-79 2.6364 1.8479
Nov-79 1.1511 1.7976
Dec-79 3.5667 1.2806
Jan-80 0.9449 0.6582
Feb-80 -0.7964 0.1814
Mar-80 2.3703 -0.1619
Apr-80 -1.0021 -0.5241
May-80 -1.9209 -0.6752
Jun-80 -2.7754 -0.7134
Jul-80 -4.0758 -0.7085
Aug-80 -2.1715 -0.5664
Sep-80 -2.2245 -0.4395
Oct-80 -1.3480 -0.3026
Nov-80 1.5098 -0.0471
Dec-80 2.2917 0.2539
Jan-81 2.3366 0.6198
Feb-81 1.2214 1.0026
Mar-81 3.3989 1.2580
Apr-81 1.2548 1.4346
May-81 1.9538 1.4408
Jun-81 0.5739 1.2035
Jul-81 1.3576 0.8970
Aug-81 1.5827 0.5950
Sep-81 0.1500 0.1828
Oct-81 0.5171 -0.2418
Nov-81 -0.2073 -0.5420
Dec-81 -1.6875 -0.8182
Jan-82 -1.0388 -1.1236
Feb-82 -2.6524 -1.4866
Mar-82 -2.6197 -1.8840
Apr-82 -2.9159 -2.2573
May-82 -1.0823 -2.6684
Jun-82 -3.0180 -3.0104
Jul-82 -2.3802 -3.1594
Aug-82 -3.3912 -3.2601
Sep-82 -4.4130 -3.3827
Oct-82 -3.8808 -3.4183
Nov-82 -5.6755 -3.4313
Dec-82 -4.4264 -3.4233
Jan-83 -1.8753 -3.1443
Feb-83 -4.2332 -2.8169
Mar-83 -3.9810 -2.5954
Apr-83 -2.4087 -2.2696
May-83 -1.9029 -1.8691
Jun-83 -2.0037 -1.4269
Jul-83 3.3013 -1.0358
Aug-83 -1.2169 -0.6916
Sep-83 -1.2699 -0.2407
Oct-83 0.7944 0.2421
Nov-83 -0.7388 0.6201
Dec-83 1.2497 0.9625
Jan-84 1.8350 1.1218
Feb-84 0.3185 1.2022
Mar-84 2.2892 1.4425
Apr-84 2.9063 1.5585
May-84 1.8560 1.5639
Jun-84 2.4544 1.6152
Jul-84 2.6656 1.5072
Aug-84 1.3497 1.2430
Sep-84 1.9298 0.9767
Oct-84 0.3778 0.6227
Nov-84 -0.1911 0.2322
Dec-84 1.9319 -0.1272
Jan-85 -1.4379 -0.5750
Feb-85 -2.7497 -1.0287
Mar-85 -1.0343 -1.4510
Apr-85 -2.2649 -1.8778
May-85 -2.3462 -2.2085
Jun-85 -1.9683 -2.5314
Jul-85 -3.6599 -2.6923
Aug-85 -3.2131 -2.5883
Sep-85 -3.6417 -2.4682
Oct-85 -4.2944 -2.3583
Nov-85 -3.4561 -2.2079
Dec-85 -2.5525 -2.0898
Jan-86 -0.8153 -1.8756
Feb-86 -0.8763 -1.5072
Mar-86 -0.0240 -1.1735
Apr-86 -0.6382 -0.8638
May-86 -0.3645 -0.5274
Jun-86 -1.1147 -0.2516
Jul-86 0.6267 -0.0824
Aug-86 1.3429 0.0354
Sep-86 -0.1887 0.1519
Oct-86 -0.3157 0.2484
Nov-86 0.6381 0.3691
Dec-86 -0.0258 0.5149
Jan-87 0.7187 0.5936
Feb-87 0.4151 0.6470
Mar-87 1.4817 0.7615
Apr-87 0.1727 0.9940
May-87 1.7205 1.2631
Jun-87 0.2994 1.5270
Jul-87 1.1027 1.8416
Aug-87 2.1476 2.0945
Sep-87 1.7535 2.2582
Oct-87 3.3235 2.4840
Nov-87 3.4579 2.7363
Dec-87 3.4860 3.0005
Jan-88 4.7578 3.2605
Feb-88 2.4455 3.3621
Mar-88 3.3813 3.3898
Apr-88 3.6921 3.4382
May-88 4.2551 3.4062
Jun-88 4.1073 3.3797
Jul-88 3.5345 3.3231
Aug-88 2.1528 3.1883
Sep-88 2.4150 2.9918
Oct-88 3.8221 2.8373
Nov-88 2.1918 2.6736
Dec-88 4.1170 2.3457
Jan-89 2.7665 1.9607
Feb-89 1.2021 1.5690
Mar-89 -0.0905 1.2359
Apr-89 3.4563 0.8670
May-89 0.5604 0.4859
Jun-89 -0.0665 0.1590
Jul-89 -1.5309 -0.1801
Aug-89 -2.1829 -0.4233
Sep-89 -1.2439 -0.4568
Oct-89 -1.3741 -0.5405
Nov-89 -1.7579 -0.6810
Dec-89 0.2215 -0.6832
Jan-90 -1.4761 -0.5943
Feb-90 -0.3929 -0.4326
Mar-90 0.7018 -0.2799
Apr-90 0.6558 -0.1933
May-90 -0.0111 -0.1478
Jun-90 0.4518 -0.2258
Jul-90 0.0833 -0.3567
Aug-90 0.0832 -0.4765
Sep-90 0.1563 -0.7615
Oct-90 -0.6958 -1.1391
Nov-90 -1.3452 -1.4924
Dec-90 -2.0632 -1.8110
Jan-91 -2.3320 -2.0225
Feb-91 -2.4128 -2.1236
Mar-91 -4.1177 -2.1846
Apr-91 -3.5871 -2.2331
May-91 -4.2488 -2.2500
Jun-91 -2.9552 -2.2386
Jul-91 -1.5861 -2.1765
Aug-91 -0.6746 -2.0546
Sep-91 -0.5498 -1.8276
Oct-91 -1.1526 -1.5287
Nov-91 -1.2960 -1.2016
Dec-91 -1.8380 -0.9421
Jan-92 -1.0655 -0.7891
Feb-92 -0.7536 -0.7133
Mar-92 -0.3302 -0.7703
Apr-92 -0.2012 -0.8271
May-92 0.2155 -0.8366
Jun-92 -1.1901 -0.7977
Jul-92 0.3191 -0.6221
Aug-92 -0.7588 -0.4725
Sep-92 -1.8338 -0.5176
Oct-92 -1.2328 -0.6352
Nov-92 -1.4447 -0.7366
Dec-92 -0.7553 -0.7916
Jan-93 2.0664 -0.9307
Feb-93 -0.2935 -1.1793
Mar-93 -1.8727 -1.2986
Apr-93 -1.4822 -1.2881
May-93 -0.9379 -1.2287
Jun-93 -1.3557 -1.1964
Jul-93 -2.8543 -1.3128
Aug-93 -3.5506 -1.4163
Sep-93 -1.9065 -1.2954
Oct-93 -0.9076 -1.4110
Nov-93 -0.3438 -1.5717
Dec-93 -1.0818 -1.3761
Jan-94 -0.3993 -1.1071
Feb-94 -0.3122 -0.7996
Mar-94 1.0460 -0.4846
Apr-94 -7.1746 -0.2027
May-94 0.8973 0.0841
Jun-94 1.5050 0.7971
Jul-94 0.7409 1.7332
Aug-94 0.2323 2.4737
Sep-94 1.8714 2.9238
Oct-94 2.0816 3.4052
Nov-94 3.5491 3.7940
Dec-94 12.1382 3.7820
Jan-95 8.8462 3.7614
Feb-95 8.2140 3.8067
Mar-95 3.3228 3.8624
Apr-95 2.1026 3.6994
May-95 0.9511 3.2815
Jun-95 1.1615 2.4686
Jul-95 0.5914 1.3621
Aug-95 1.4679 0.3228
Sep-95 1.9738 -0.4115
Oct-95 -1.9330 -0.8699
Nov-95 -2.4666 -1.2368
Dec-95 -1.3543 -1.5785
Jan-96 -4.2191 -1.9244
Feb-96 -3.6621 -2.2758
Mar-96 -2.4244 -2.7215
Apr-96 -3.1520 -3.0068
May-96 -2.5999 -3.0412
Jun-96 -3.4891 -3.1021
Jul-96 -3.0605 -3.0812
Aug-96 -3.3130 -2.8694
Sep-96 -3.9415 -2.7687
Oct-96 -2.8650 -2.6916
Nov-96 -2.3612 -2.5287
Dec-96 -2.9198 -2.4210
Jan-97 -2.1518 -2.2375
Feb-97 -0.6477 -1.9679
Mar-97 -3.0205 -1.5972
Apr-97 -0.7067 -1.1526
May-97 -1.1350 -0.8198
Jun-97 -2.3692 -0.4722
Jul-97 0.2230 -0.0350
Aug-97 -0.1249 0.3270
Sep-97 1.7654 0.6939
Oct-97 2.0991 1.0838
Nov-97 0.6627 1.4400
Dec-97 2.3985 1.8755
Jan-98 3.0227 2.2830
Feb-98 2.8647 2.5594
Mar-98 2.2746 2.7123
Apr-98 3.3548 2.7840
May-98 3.3513 2.8956
Jun-98 3.5985 2.9462
Jul-98 4.0344 2.8913
Aug-98 2.6972 2.8975
Sep-98 2.6129 3.0066
Oct-98 2.9726 3.0681
Nov-98 2.4663 3.0338
Dec-98 1.8099 2.9869
Jan-99 2.2936 2.9134
Feb-99 3.7442 2.9131
Mar-99 4.0116 3.0506
Apr-99 3.0938 3.2089
May-99 2.7896 3.3797
Jun-99 3.0349 3.6349
Jul-99 2.8334 3.8841
Aug-99 3.8910 4.0021
Sep-99 4.7204 3.8222
Oct-99 4.6644 3.3482
Nov-99 4.8735 2.9052
Dec-99 5.5265 2.5586
Jan-00 4.5579 2.1405
Feb-00 4.3113 1.7464
Mar-00 -0.8729 1.3107
Apr-00 -3.3972 0.7276
May-00 -1.3511 0.1531
Jun-00 -1.1432 -0.4824
Jul-00 -3.0229 -1.1077
Aug-00 0.2883 -1.6730
Sep-00 -2.1331 -2.0498
Oct-00 -2.4755 -2.1616
Nov-00 -1.7764 -2.2345
Dec-00 -3.0752 -2.3907
Jan-01 -1.8462 -2.5594
Feb-01 -2.8519 -2.7013
Mar-01 -2.7537 -2.9160
Apr-01 -4.1987 -3.1065
May-01 -2.3004 -3.3012
Jun-01 -3.9410 -3.5482
Jul-01 -4.2758 -3.7724
Aug-01 -1.8629 -3.9182
Sep-01 -5.1365 -4.0539
Oct-01 -4.0437 -4.1316
Nov-01 -4.8798 -4.1154
Dec-01 -5.8996 -4.0780
Jan-02 -4.4033 -3.8974
Feb-02 -3.7948 -3.7205
Mar-02 -5.0670 -3.5414
Apr-02 -3.7499 -3.2369
May-02 -2.3602 -2.8843
Jun-02 -2.9838 -2.4564
Jul-02 -0.8994 -2.0961
Aug-02 -0.9938 -1.9113
Sep-02 -1.7058 -1.7370
Oct-02 -0.1670 -1.5358
Nov-02 -0.2953 -1.4717
Dec-02 -0.2133 -1.5147
Jan-03 -1.4427 -1.5715
Feb-03 -2.3194 -1.6761
Mar-03 -2.3609 -1.7369
Apr-03 -1.6269 -1.7259
May-03 -2.9432 -1.7571
Jun-03 -3.4343 -1.7200
Jul-03 -1.8109 -1.6096
Aug-03 -2.5926 -1.3886
Sep-03 -1.5679 -0.9923
Oct-03 -0.0394 -0.5881
Nov-03 -1.1726 -0.1877
Dec-03 1.5550 0.2883
Jan-04 -0.5612 0.7505
Feb-04 2.1033 1.1345
Mar-04 2.7280 1.4774
Apr-04 2.9844 1.7266
May-04 2.0538 2.0310
Jun-04 2.9926 2.2945
Jul-04 2.8553 2.5261
Aug-04 1.9572 2.7646
Sep-04 2.1126 2.8440
Oct-04 2.2618 2.8923
Nov-04 3.8321 2.9644
Dec-04 2.8738 2.9876
Jan-05 3.6781 2.9354
Feb-05 3.5873 2.9701
Mar-05 3.1494 3.0298
Apr-05 3.7216 2.9737
May-05 3.0471 2.9664
Jun-05 2.5579 2.9972
Jul-05 2.0360 2.9188
Aug-05 3.6095 2.7663
Sep-05 1.8934 2.6511
Oct-05 1.1337 2.5236
Nov-05 4.7852 2.4899
Dec-05 2.6610 2.6009
Jan-06 2.0099 2.6559
Feb-06 1.5949 2.5415
Mar-06 2.3757 2.4699
Apr-06 1.4352 2.5335
May-06 4.5252 2.3456
Jun-06 3.7446 2.0715
Jul-06 2.1681 1.9368
Aug-06 0.7324 1.8461
Sep-06 3.0522 1.8224
Oct-06 1.5023 1.8272
Nov-06 -0.0938 1.7266
Dec-06 0.9627 1.5073
Jan-07 0.4735 1.3081
Feb-07 0.9551 1.2621
Mar-07 2.4462 1.1779
Apr-07 1.4815 1.1152
May-07 2.0645 1.3062
Jun-07 0.9409 1.4912
Jul-07 0.1903 1.7490
Aug-07 1.6072 2.1178
Sep-07 0.1572 2.2397
Oct-07 2.8919 2.3119
Nov-07 3.1008 2.5108
Dec-07 2.2084 2.6580
Jan-08 5.4142 2.8807
Feb-08 4.8668 3.0470
Mar-08 1.4585 3.0515
Apr-08 4.2017 2.9576
May-08 4.1179 2.6184
Jun-08 2.4223 2.0172
Jul-08 4.0532 1.0930
Aug-08 1.7339 0.0645
Sep-08 0.1396 -0.9087
Oct-08 0.6556 -2.0792
Nov-08 -2.8030 -3.3912
Dec-08 -6.3168 -4.5731
Jan-09 -8.2428 -5.6099
Feb-09 -6.1595 -6.5125
Mar-09 -10.8707 -7.2132
Apr-09 -11.5629 -7.8895
May-09 -11.6045 -8.3710
Jun-09 -10.2200 -8.4353
Jul-09 -8.1896 -8.2106
Aug-09 -7.6844 -7.8732
Sep-09 -7.2595 -7.3054
Oct-09 -8.1750 -6.4336
Nov-09 -5.5298 -5.5282
Dec-09 -5.1318 -4.6898
Jan-10 -4.0367 -3.9842
Feb-10 -2.2665 -3.3928
Mar-10 -1.1377 -2.8276
Apr-10 -0.3731 -2.2131
May-10 -1.0635 -1.6638
Jun-10 -0.6405 -1.2049
Jul-10 -0.8338 -0.7204
Aug-10 -0.8481 -0.3747
Sep-10 -0.5301 -0.1194
Oct-10 -0.1564 0.0956
Nov-10 -0.3648 0.1814
Dec-10 0.7172 0.2799
Jan-11 1.7408 0.3775
Feb-11 0.2545 0.4906
Mar-11 2.4684 0.6737
Apr-11 1.1810 0.8228
May-11 -0.5585 0.9646
Jun-11 1.2182 1.2015
Jul-11 -0.3516 1.3392
Aug-11 1.3854 1.3980
Sep-11 1.6294 1.3756
Oct-11 1.2627 1.2266
Nov-11 1.6195 1.2517
Dec-11 4.4182 1.3286
Jan-12 1.3458 1.3538
Feb-12 2.0597 1.3251
Mar-12 0.1270 1.1502
Apr-12 -0.0543 0.8768
May-12 1.2782 0.6079
Jun-12 1.2274 0.2345
Jul-12 0.2436 -0.0404
Aug-12 0.1030 -0.1161
Sep-12 -1.2855 -0.1501
Oct-12 -2.3847 -0.1262
Nov-12 -1.1873 -0.1423
Dec-12 -1.7354 -0.1985
Jan-13 0.9024 -0.2380
Feb-13 0.6861 -0.2264
Mar-13 0.6830 -0.1498
Apr-13 -0.0357 0.0286
May-13 0.8730 0.2825
Jun-13 0.2844 0.5456
Jul-13 0.2376 0.6007
Aug-13 0.3888 0.4774
Sep-13 0.2651 0.4247
Oct-13 0.3467 0.4979
Nov-13 2.1757 0.6057
Dec-13 1.2152 0.6549
Jan-14 -0.7246 0.7085
Feb-14 -0.6466 0.7824
Mar-14 0.7514 0.8734
Apr-14 1.6523 1.0212
May-14 1.7714 1.1405
Jun-14 0.5677 1.2643
Jul-14 1.2404 1.4708
Aug-14 1.1605 1.5808
Sep-14 1.6771 1.5765
Oct-14 2.4812 1.4996
Nov-14 2.9049 1.3391
Dec-14 3.4562 1.2195
Jan-15 1.9900 1.1450
Feb-15 -0.7195 1.0474
Mar-15 0.7204 0.8936
Apr-15 -0.1633 0.6728
May-15 -0.2635 0.3306
Jun-15 -0.2685 -0.1239
Jul-15 0.2878  
Aug-15 -0.2296  
Sep-15 -0.6229  
Oct-15 -0.5171  
Nov-15 -2.3112  
Dec-15 -2.2353  

NOTES: Detrending and smoothing refer to statistical procedures that make it easier to observe changes in upturns and downturns of the data. Detrending removes the long-term growth trend and smoothing eliminates month-to-month volatility.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Transportation Services Index, available at www.bts.gov as of May 2016.