Estimated Impacts of September 11th on US Travel
Thursday, March 23, 2017
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Estimated Impacts of September 11th on US Travel2006 |
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| Entire Publication |
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| Front Matter |
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| Executive Summary |
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| Chapter 1 - Results of National Household Travel Survey |
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| Figure 1 - Real GDP |
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| Figure 2 - Industrial Production Index |
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| Figure 3 - Unemployment Rate |
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| Figure 4 - U.S. Origin National Air Travel Price Index |
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| Figure 5 - Transportation Service Passenger Index |
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| Figure 6 - Percentage of Pre and Post 9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Mode for International Travel |
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| Figure 7 - Long-Distance Trips for Personal Business |
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| Figure 8 - Percentage of Pre and Post 9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Mode for Trip Distances Between 50-99 Miles |
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| Chapter 2 - Time Series Analysis of Passenger Data; Pre- and Post- September 11, 2001 |
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| Figure 9 - Air Revenue Passenger Miles |
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| Figure 10 - Rail Passenger Miles |
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| Figure 11 - Vehicle Miles Traveled |
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| Figure 12 - 5 Year Average of Air Revenue Passenger Mile Seasonality |
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| Figure 13 - 5 Year Average of Rail Passenger Mile Seasonality |
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| Figure 14 - 5 Year Average of Vehicle Miles Traveled Seasonality |
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| Figure 15 - Forecasts of Air Revenue Passenger Miles |
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| Figure 16 - Forecasts of Railroad Passenger Miles |
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| Figure 17 - Forecasts of Vehicle Miles Traveled |
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| Figure 18 - Air Revenue Passenger Miles |
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| Figure 19 - Rail Passenger Miles |
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| Figure 20 - Vehicle Miles Traveled |
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| Table 1 - STAMP Model Specifications for Passenger Time Series |
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| Table 2 - Intervention Analysis in STAMP on Passenger Time Series |
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| Table 3 - Comparison of NHTS Trip Estimates to Other Travel Data |
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| Chapter 3 - Pre- and Post- 9/11 Econometric Analysis of Travel by Mode |
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| Table 4 - Seasonally Adjusted Aviation Revenue Passenger-Miles per Driving Age 16+ Population Equation Estimation with Unemployment Variable |
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| Table 5 - Highway Vehicle-Miles Traveled per Driving Age 16+ Population Equation Estimation |
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| Table 6 - Log of Seasonally Adjusted Passenger-Miles for Rail per Driving Age 16+ Population Equation Estimation |
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| Table 7 - Economic Demand Elasticities |
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| Appendix A - Methodology |
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| Appendix B - NHTS Tables | ||||
| Table B1 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Trip Purpose, for Each Mode |
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| Table B2 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Age Group, for Each Mode |
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| Table B3 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Gender, for Each Mode |
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| Table B4 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Income, for Each Mode |
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| Table B5 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Trip Length, for Each Mode |
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| Table B6 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Trip Destination, for Each Mode |
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| Table B7 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Area Type, for Each Mode |
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| Table B8 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Mode, for Each Trip Purpose |
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| Table B9 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Mode, for Each Age Group |
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| Table B10 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Mode, for Each Gender |
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| Table B11 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Mode, for Each Income Group |
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| Table B12 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Mode, for Each Trip Distance |
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| Table B13 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Mode, for Each Trip Destination |
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| Table B14 - Distribution of Pre- and Post-9/11 Long-Distance Trips by Mode, for Each Area Type |
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| Appendix C - The Time Series Data | ||||
| Table C1 - Raw Data for Time Series Analysis |
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| Appendix D - The Structural Time Series Model |
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| Table D1 - Some of the Principal Models in the Structural Framework |
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| Appendix E - Summary of Monthly Forecasts | ||||
| Table E1 - Forecasts and Forecast Errors for Air RPM |
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| Table E2 - Forecasts and Forecast Errors for Rail RPM |
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| Table E3 - Forecasts and Forecast Errors for VMT |
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| References |
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