2nd-Quarter 2016 Air Fare Data
The average domestic air fare decreased to $353 in the second quarter of 2016, down 9.6 percent from $390 in the second quarter of 2015, adjusted for inflation (Table 1), the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) reported today.
Figure 1. U.S. Average Domestic Fares, 2nd Quarter 1995-2016
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, BTS Air Fares, Origin and Destination Survey
BTS reports average fares based on domestic itinerary fares. Itinerary fares consist of round-trip fares, unless the customer does not purchase a return trip. In that case, the one-way fare is included. One-way trips accounted for 34 percent of fares calculated for the second quarter of 2016. Fares are based on the total ticket value, which consists of the price charged by the airlines plus any additional taxes and fees levied by an outside entity at the time of purchase. Fares include only the price paid at the time of the ticket purchase and do not include fees for optional services, such as baggage fees. Averages do not include frequent-flyer or “zero fares.” Constant 2016 dollars are used for inflation adjustment.
Inflation-Adjusted Air Fares
Second-quarter fares rose 17.0 percent from the recession-affected low of $337 in 2009 to $395 in the second quarter of 2011. From the second quarter of 2011, fares fell 10.7 percent to the second quarter of 2016 (Table 1).
The second-quarter 2016 fare was down 26.2 percent from the average fare of $478 in 1999, the highest inflation-adjusted second quarter average fare in the 21 years since BTS began collecting air fare records in 1995. Since 1995, inflation-adjusted fares declined 24.9 percent (Table 2). See BTS Air Fare web page for historic data.
In recent years, airlines have obtained additional revenue from fees charged to passengers as well as from other sources. U.S. passenger airlines collected 74.3 percent of their total revenue from passenger fares during the second quarter of 2016, down from 87.6 percent in 1995 (Table 1A).
Quarter-to-Quarter Change
Average fares have declined for six consecutive quarters after reaching an inflation-adjusted recent high of $403 in the fourth-quarter of 2014 (Table 3).
Unadjusted Air Fares
The $353 second-quarter 2016 average fare was down 10.9 from the second quarter 2014 fare of $396, which was the highest average fare for any second quarter since 1995. Since 1995, unadjusted fares rose 18.8 percent compared to a 58.1 percent increase in overall consumer prices (Table 4).
Second-quarter 2016 fares were down 2.4 percent from the first quarter of 2016, dropping to the lowest unadjusted level since the fourth quarter of 2010 when the average fare was $335 (Table 5).
Fares by Airport
Figure 2. Fares by Airport Group based on Number of Originating Domestic Passengers 2Q 2016
Of airports grouped by the number of originating passengers in the second quarter of 2016, the 11 airports with between 50,000 and 99,999 originating passengers had the highest average fares ($397). Airports with 1.5 to 1.99 million originating passengers had the lowest average fares of any group ($335) (Table 6).
Tables listing the airports by group can be found on the BTS Air Fare web page.
For additional data, see Top 100 Airports or All Airports. Since average fares are based on the Origin and Destination Survey 10 percent ticket sample, averages for airports with smaller samples may be less reliable. Fares for Alaska, Hawaii and Puerto Rico airports are not included in rankings but are available on the web page. Third-quarter 2016 average fare data will be released Jan. 24.
Table 1. 2nd Quarter Average Fare 1995-2016, Adjusted for Inflation
Year | Average Fare in constant 2016 dollars ($) | Year-to-Year Percent Change in Average Fare (2Q to 2Q) (%) | Cumulative Percent Change in Average Fare (2Q 1995 to 2Q of each year) (%) |
---|---|---|---|
1995 | 469 | ||
1996 | 424 | -9.6 | -9.6 |
1997 | 435 | 2.6 | -7.2 |
1998 | 445 | 2.3 | -5.1 |
1999 | 478 | 7.3 | 1.8 |
2000 | 474 | -0.7 | 1.1 |
2001 | 445 | -6.1 | -5.1 |
2002 | 426 | -4.3 | -9.2 |
2003 | 413 | -3.1 | -12.0 |
2004 | 393 | -4.7 | -16.2 |
2005 | 380 | -3.3 | -19.0 |
2006 | 406 | 6.8 | -13.5 |
2007 | 376 | -7.2 | -19.8 |
2008 | 382 | 1.5 | -18.5 |
2009 | 337 | -11.8 | -28.1 |
2010 | 377 | 11.7 | -19.7 |
2011 | 395 | 4.8 | -15.8 |
2012 | 404 | 2.4 | -13.9 |
2013 | 390 | -3.4 | -16.8 |
2014 | 400 | 2.5 | -14.7 |
2015 | 390 | -2.6 | -16.9 |
2016 | 353 | -9.6 | -24.9 |
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, https://www.transtats.bts.gov/AIRFARES/ and http://www.transtats.bts.gov/databases.asp?Mode_ID=1&Mode_Desc=Aviation&Subject_ID2=0
Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers
Table 1A. Passenger Airline Revenue from Fares 1990-2016
Year | Revenue from Passenger Fares as Percent of Total Scheduled Passenger Airline Operating Revenue* (%) |
---|---|
1990 | 88.5 |
1995 | 87.6 |
2000 | 88.9 |
2001 | 87.8 |
2002 | 87.1 |
2003 | 84.9 |
2004 | 80.6 |
2005 | 78.4 |
2006 | 77.6 |
2007 | 77.7 |
2008 | 75.9 |
2009 | 73.7 |
2010 | 74.8 |
2011 | 74.6 |
2012 | 74.1 |
2013 | 74.6 |
2014 | 74.8 |
2015 | 74.7 |
2016 (1Q) | 73.7 |
2016 (2Q) | 74.3 |
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, P-1.2
* From Schedule P-1.2: Passenger Revenue (Fares) (Acct 3901) as a percentage of Total Operating Revenues (4999).
Table 2. Percent Changes to 2016 in Average Domestic Average Fares and the Inflation Rate* by Year Since 1995
(2nd Quarter to 2nd Quarter for fares; Jun to Jun for inflation)
Since 2nd Quarter of ... | Duration in Years | Average Fare in constant 2016 dollars ($) | Percent Change in Average Fare to 2nd Quarter 2016 (%) |
---|---|---|---|
2016 | 353 | ||
2015 | 1 | 390 | -9.6 |
2014 | 2 | 400 | -11.9 |
2013 | 3 | 390 | -9.7 |
2012 | 4 | 404 | -12.8 |
2011 | 5 | 395 | -10.7 |
2010 | 6 | 377 | -6.4 |
2009 | 7 | 337 | 4.5 |
2008 | 8 | 382 | -7.8 |
2007 | 9 | 376 | -6.4 |
2006 | 10 | 406 | -13.1 |
2005 | 11 | 380 | -7.2 |
2004 | 12 | 393 | -10.3 |
2003 | 13 | 413 | -14.6 |
2002 | 14 | 426 | -17.2 |
2001 | 15 | 445 | -20.8 |
2000 | 16 | 474 | -25.7 |
1999 | 17 | 478 | -26.2 |
1998 | 18 | 445 | -20.8 |
1997 | 19 | 435 | -19.0 |
1996 | 20 | 424 | -16.9 |
1995 | 21 | 469 | -24.9 |
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, https://www.transtats.bts.gov/AIRFARES/s and http://www.transtats.bts.gov/databases.asp?Mode_ID=1&Mode_Desc=Aviation&Subject_ID2=0
* Rate calculated using Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index
Table 3. Inflation-Adjusted Average Domestic Airline Fares by Quarter
Average Fare and Percent Change by Quarter
Quarter/Year | Average Domestic Fare (2016$) | |
---|---|---|
Average Fare in constant 2016 dollars ($) | Quarter-to-Quarter Percent Change in Average Fare (%) | |
2Q 2014 | 400 | 2.6 |
3Q 2014 | 401 | 0.3 |
4Q 2014 | 403 | 0.4 |
1Q 2015 | 396 | -1.7 |
2Q 2015 | 390 | -1.7 |
3Q 2015* | 377 | -3.5 |
4Q 2015* | 369 | -1.9 |
1Q 2016* | 366 | -1.1 |
2Q 2016* | 353 | -3.7 |
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, https://www.transtats.bts.gov/AIRFARES/ and http://www.transtats.bts.gov/databases.asp?Mode_ID=1&Mode_Desc=Aviation&Subject_ID2=0
Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers
* Fares for the most recent four quarters are in current dollars, not adjusted for inflation.
Table 4. Unadjusted 2nd Quarter Average Fares, 1995-2016
Year | Average Fare in current dollars ($) | Year-to-Year Percent Change in Average Fare (2Q to 2Q) (%) | Cumulative Percent Change in Average Fare (2Q 1995 to 2Q of each year) (%) | Inflation Rate Change to Jun 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|
1995 | 297 | 58.1 | ||
1996 | 276 | -7.1 | -7.1 | 53.8 |
1997 | 289 | 5.0 | -2.5 | 50.4 |
1998 | 301 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 47.9 |
1999 | 329 | 9.4 | 11.0 | 45.0 |
2000 | 339 | 3.0 | 14.3 | 39.8 |
2001 | 329 | -3.1 | 10.7 | 35.4 |
2002 | 318 | -3.3 | 7.1 | 34.0 |
2003 | 315 | -1.1 | 6.0 | 31.2 |
2004 | 309 | -1.6 | 4.3 | 27.1 |
2005 | 307 | -0.9 | 3.3 | 23.9 |
2006 | 342 | 11.4 | 15.1 | 18.8 |
2007 | 325 | -4.7 | 9.6 | 15.7 |
2008 | 347 | 6.6 | 16.9 | 10.2 |
2009 | 302 | -13.0 | 1.7 | 11.8 |
2010 | 341 | 12.9 | 14.8 | 10.6 |
2011 | 370 | 8.5 | 24.6 | 6.8 |
2012 | 385 | 4.1 | 29.6 | 5.0 |
2013 | 378 | -1.7 | 27.4 | 3.2 |
2014 | 396 | 4.7 | 33.3 | 1.1 |
2015 | 386 | -2.5 | 30.0 | 1.0 |
2016 | 353 | -8.7 | 18.8 | N/A |
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, https://www.transtats.bts.gov/AIRFARES/ and http://www.transtats.bts.gov/databases.asp?Mode_ID=1&Mode_Desc=Aviation&Subject_ID2=0
Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers
Table 5. Unadjusted Average Domestic Airline Fares by Quarter
Average Fare and Percent Change by Quarter
Quarter/Year | Average Domestic Fare (current$) | |
---|---|---|
Average Fare in current dollars ($) | Quarter-to-Quarter Percent Change in Average Fare (%) | |
2Q 2014 | 396 | 3.5 |
3Q 2014 | 396 | 0.2 |
4Q 2014 | 393 | -0.9 |
1Q 2015 | 388 | -1.1 |
2Q 2015 | 386 | -0.6 |
3Q 2015 | 372 | -3.7 |
4Q 2015 | 363 | -2.5 |
1Q 2016 | 361 | -0.4 |
2Q 2016 | 353 | -2.4 |
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, https://www.transtats.bts.gov/AIRFARES/ and http://www.transtats.bts.gov/databases.asp?Mode_ID=1&Mode_Desc=Aviation&Subject_ID2=0
Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers
Table 6. Fares at Airports Grouped by Originating Passengers
Top 100 Airports* Based on 2016 U.S. Originating Domestic Passengers
Airport Groups based on 2Q 2016 Originating Passengers | Average Fare 2nd Quarter 2016 ($) | Percent of Total Passengers |
---|---|---|
2 million+ | 346 | 25 |
1.5-1.99 million | 335 | 17 |
1.0-1.49 million | 344 | 18 |
500-999,000 | 350 | 24 |
100-499,000 | 359 | 15 |
50-99,000 | 397 | 1 |
Average Fare at All Airports | 353 | 100 |
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, https://www.transtats.bts.gov/AIRFARES/ and http://www.transtats.bts.gov/databases.asp?Mode_ID=1&Mode_Desc=Aviation&Subject_ID2=0
* Not including Alaska, Hawaii or Puerto Rico