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Legacy ID

201

Table 3: Definitions of Intervention Variables

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Name Definition Facts Affected variables EASTER 1 in Easter months, 0 otherwise Easter effects All DAYS Trading days per month Trading day effects All Mar-89 1 in 1989:3, 0...

Table 10: Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 1-, 6-, 12-, and 24-Steps-Ahead Forecasts for Metro and Bus Tickets and Travel Cards for the DHR, Causal, and Average Forecasts

Forecasting Period: 2000-2002

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SMT 10MT SBT 10BT TC JTC...

Figure 13: Air Revenue Passenger-Miles Forecast (as of December 2001) with No Interventions for September 2001: January 1991 - August 2003

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Estimating the Impact of Recent Interventions on Transportation Indicators

KEITH ORD* Georgetown University PEG YOUNG* Bureau of Transportation Statistics

ABSTRACT

Whenever an unusual event disrupts the structural patterns of a time series, one of the aims of a forecaster...

Figure 13: Air Revenue Passenger-Miles Forecast (as of December 2001) with No Interventions for September 2001: January 1991-August 2003

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Year Air Revenue Passenger Miles Trend Jan-91 24.83218742 27.80101901 Feb-91 25....

Table A6: Estimates of Annual Domestic Commodity Inflows to California

Excluding energy1

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Commodity Observed inflows (000s of metric tons) Estimated inflows (000s of metric tons) Percentage error Distance ratio2...

Figure 1: Commodity Inflow

Figure 3: Borderplex Bridge Activity: 1978-2003

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Year Millions of cargo vehicle crossings (ELBAT) 1978 0.08 1979 0.077 1980 0.103 1981 0.158 1982 0.102 1983 0.117 1984...

Table 5: Bridge Series Predictive Accuracy

Sample period: 1998-2003

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Series RMSE U-statistic U-bias U-variance U-covariance Bridge of the Americas Northbound Light Vehicle Traffic ELBAC1 1.573 0.181 0.31 0.02 0.67...

Figure 3: Borderplex Bridge Activity: 1978-2003

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